XRP4hmedium riskBest: accumulate+wait
High-Return XRP EMA Crossover (Short) (4h)
Published July 4, 2026
EMA Crossover (Short) strategy on XRP. +38.09% return over the test period with 43.6% win rate and 1.53 profit factor. Sharpe ratio: 1.24. Max drawdown: 20.11%. Best performance in accumulate regime.
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Performance Metrics
Total Return
+39.68%
Sharpe Ratio
1.24
Win Rate
43.60%
Max Drawdown
20.11%
Trade Count
39
Profit Factor
1.53
Avg Return/Trade
0.94%
Avg Hold (bars)
16
Out-of-Sample Validation
Tested on unseen data to verify the strategy is not curve-fitted. Low degradation confirms robustness.
OOS Return
5.47%
OOS Win Rate
42.90%
OOS Sharpe
1.10
Degradation
14.06%
Equity Curve
Strategy Rules
Entry TriggerEMA value crosses_below EMA(21)
Stop Losspercent 3%
Take Profitpercent 6%
CFO Regime Breakdown
Wait 41%
| Regime | Return | Trades | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wait | 30.45% | 29 | 44.8% |
| Accumulate | 9.23% | 3 | 66.7% |
| Distribute | -3.21% | 7 | 28.6% |
| _best_combo | 39.68% | 32 | 46.9% |
Trade History (39 trades)
| Entry | Exit | Return | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/23/2025 | 7/23/2025 | +6.17% | Wait |
| 7/28/2025 | 8/1/2025 | +6.17% | Wait |
| 8/6/2025 | 8/6/2025 | -3.11% | Wait |
| 8/11/2025 | 8/12/2025 | -3.11% | Wait |
| 8/14/2025 | 8/19/2025 | +6.17% | Wait |
| 8/25/2025 | 8/26/2025 | -3.11% | Wait |
| 8/28/2025 | 8/29/2025 | +6.17% | Wait |
| 9/4/2025 | 9/5/2025 | -3.11% | Distribute |
| 9/5/2025 | 9/7/2025 | -3.11% | Wait |
| 9/15/2025 | 9/17/2025 | -3.11% | Wait |
Ready to deploy?
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Deploy with AnnyPast performance does not guarantee future results. All strategies involve risk of loss.
