DOGE1hmedium risk

High-Return DOGE EMA Crossover (Short) (1h)

Published July 19, 2026

EMA Crossover (Short) strategy on DOGE. +88.51% return over the test period with 40.5% win rate and 1.35 profit factor. Sharpe ratio: 1.52. Max drawdown: 22.59%. Best performance in wait regime.

Deploy with AnnyShort strategy — requires a futures account. Anny will guide you through setup.

Performance Metrics

Total Return
+42.49%
Sharpe Ratio
1.52
Win Rate
40.50%
Max Drawdown
22.59%
Trade Count
116
Profit Factor
1.35
Avg Return/Trade
0.65%
Avg Hold (bars)
36

Out-of-Sample Validation

Tested on unseen data to verify the strategy is not curve-fitted. Low degradation confirms robustness.

OOS Return
36.94%
OOS Win Rate
50.00%
OOS Sharpe
3.49
Degradation
OOS improved

Statistical Confidence

How likely the edge is real — out-of-sample statistical confidence, consistency across time, and a comparison to simply holding the asset.

OOS Confidence
94%
Profitable Folds
4/4
vs Buy & Hold
-70.94%
Strategies Tested
752

Return range (90% confidence): -9.31% ··· 88.51% ··· 329.38%

Backtest includes trading fees and slippage, assumes full-capital sequential compounding, and does not model futures funding costs on shorts.

Equity Curve

Equity curve-0%+14%+27%+41%+55%

Strategy Rules

Entry TriggerEMA value crosses_below EMA(21)
Stop Losspercent 3%
Take Profitpercent 6%

CFO Regime Breakdown

Anny's CFO Line divides market conditions into three regimes. Accumulate means the trend is bullish — ideal for long entries. Distribute means bearish — better to avoid or short. Wait means the trend is unclear. This breakdown shows how the strategy performed in each regime, helping you understand when it works best.

Wait 43%
RegimeReturnTradesWin Rate
Wait36.42%4242.9%
Accumulate3.06%250%
Distribute3.01%540%
_best_combo42.49%4942.9%

Trade History (49 trades)

EntryExitReturnRegime
1/18/20261/19/2026+6.17%Wait
1/22/20261/23/2026-3.11%Wait
1/23/20261/28/2026-3.11%Wait
1/29/20261/29/2026+6.17%Wait
1/31/20261/31/2026+6.17%Distribute
2/3/20262/3/2026-3.11%Wait
2/4/20262/5/2026+6.17%Wait
2/7/20262/7/2026-3.11%Wait
2/8/20262/11/2026+6.17%Wait
2/12/20262/13/2026-3.11%Wait

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Past performance does not guarantee future results. All strategies involve risk of loss.

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  1. Don’t trade the money you can’t afford to lose.
  2. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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