AVAX4hmedium riskBest: wait+distributePremium

High-Return AVAX SWING_STRUCTURE Short + Regime (4h)

Published August 2, 2026

SWING_STRUCTURE Short + Regime strategy on AVAX. +162.84% return over the test period with 44.4% win rate and 2.14 profit factor. Sharpe ratio: 1.31. Max drawdown: 17.1%. Best performance in distribute regime.

Deploy with AnnyShort strategy — requires a futures account. Anny will guide you through setup.

Performance Metrics

Total Return
+113.58%
Sharpe Ratio
1.31
Win Rate
44.40%
Max Drawdown
17.10%
Trade Count
36
Profit Factor
2.14
Avg Return/Trade
3.16%
Avg Hold (bars)
22

Out-of-Sample Validation

Tested on unseen data to verify the strategy is not curve-fitted. Low degradation confirms robustness.

OOS Return
13.89%
OOS Win Rate
36.40%
OOS Sharpe
0.99
Degradation
28.26%

Statistical Confidence

How likely the edge is real — out-of-sample statistical confidence, consistency across time, and a comparison to simply holding the asset.

OOS Confidence
73%
Profitable Folds
3/4
vs Buy & Hold
-75.5%
Strategies Tested
2116

Return range (90% confidence): 3.44% ··· 157.1% ··· 528.43%

Backtest includes trading fees and slippage, assumes full-capital sequential compounding, and does not model futures funding costs on shorts.

Equity Curve

Equity curve-1%+47%+95%+144%+192%

Strategy Rules

This is a Premium strategy. Unlock the full entry, confirmation, and exit rules — and deploy it as a bot — with Anny Pro.

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CFO Regime Breakdown

Anny's CFO Line divides market conditions into three regimes. Accumulate means the trend is bullish — ideal for long entries. Distribute means bearish — better to avoid or short. Wait means the trend is unclear. This breakdown shows how the strategy performed in each regime, helping you understand when it works best.

Wait 31%
Distribute 19%

This strategy performs best during wait+distribute — consider using the regime filter to only enter trades when the CFO Line signals wait+distribute.

RegimeReturnTradesWin Rate
Wait50.48%2236.4%
Accumulate0%00%
Distribute63.1%1457.1%
_best_combo113.58%3644.4%

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Past performance does not guarantee future results. All strategies involve risk of loss.