ADA4hmedium riskBest: wait+distribute
High-Return ADA Keltner Channel Breakdown (Short) (4h)
Published July 4, 2026
Keltner Channel Breakdown (Short) strategy on ADA. +55.03% return over the test period with 45.2% win rate and 1.73 profit factor. Sharpe ratio: 1.4. Max drawdown: 21.92%. Best performance in distribute regime.
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Performance Metrics
Total Return
+50.04%
Sharpe Ratio
1.40
Win Rate
45.20%
Max Drawdown
21.92%
Trade Count
31
Profit Factor
1.73
Avg Return/Trade
1.61%
Avg Hold (bars)
14
Out-of-Sample Validation
Tested on unseen data to verify the strategy is not curve-fitted. Low degradation confirms robustness.
OOS Return
27.52%
OOS Win Rate
66.70%
OOS Sharpe
3.23
Degradation
-100.00%
Equity Curve
Strategy Rules
Entry TriggerPRICE close crosses_below KELTNER(20)
Stop Losspercent 4%
Take Profitpercent 8%
CFO Regime Breakdown
Distribute 39%
| Regime | Return | Trades | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wait | 9.28% | 7 | 42.9% |
| Accumulate | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Distribute | 40.76% | 24 | 45.8% |
| _best_combo | 50.04% | 31 | 45.2% |
Trade History (31 trades)
| Entry | Exit | Return | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/1/2025 | 8/4/2025 | -4.04% | Distribute |
| 9/22/2025 | 9/25/2025 | +8.48% | Wait |
| 9/25/2025 | 9/28/2025 | -4.04% | Distribute |
| 10/10/2025 | 10/10/2025 | +8.48% | Distribute |
| 10/17/2025 | 10/17/2025 | -4.04% | Distribute |
| 10/30/2025 | 11/3/2025 | +8.48% | Distribute |
| 11/4/2025 | 11/4/2025 | +8.48% | Distribute |
| 11/13/2025 | 11/16/2025 | +8.48% | Distribute |
| 11/17/2025 | 11/18/2025 | -4.04% | Distribute |
| 11/19/2025 | 11/19/2025 | -4.04% | Distribute |
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Deploy with AnnyPast performance does not guarantee future results. All strategies involve risk of loss.
