UNI4hhigh riskPremium

Balance Fader · STOCHRSI LONG · UNI (4h)

Published August 6, 2026

Balance Fader (STOCHRSI LONG) strategy on UNI. +100.68% return over the test period with 50% win rate and 1.46 profit factor. Sharpe ratio: 0.91. Max drawdown: 28.63%. Best performance in wait regime.

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Performance Metrics

Total Return
+116.10%
Sharpe Ratio
0.91
Win Rate
50.00%
Max Drawdown
28.63%
Trade Count
56
Profit Factor
1.46
Avg Return/Trade
1.70%
Avg Hold (bars)
14

Out-of-Sample Validation

Tested on unseen data to verify the strategy is not curve-fitted. Low degradation confirms robustness.

OOS Return
12.27%
OOS Win Rate
55.60%
OOS Sharpe
1.07
Degradation
OOS improved

Statistical Confidence

How likely the edge is real — out-of-sample statistical confidence, consistency across time, and a comparison to simply holding the asset.

OOS Confidence
75%
Profitable Folds
3/4
vs Buy & Hold
-50.23%
Strategies Tested
845

Return range (90% confidence): -40.07% ··· 99.77% ··· 516.53%

Backtest includes trading fees and slippage, assumes full-capital sequential compounding, and does not model futures funding costs on shorts.

Equity Curve

Equity curve+0%+48%+96%+145%+193%

Strategy Rules

Entry TriggerSTOCHRSI (3 settings) ••••
Confirmation 1REGIME ••••
Stop Lossatr ••••
Take Profitrisk_reward ••••

CFO Regime Breakdown

Anny's CFO Line divides market conditions into three regimes. Accumulate means the trend is bullish — ideal for long entries. Distribute means bearish — better to avoid or short. Wait means the trend is unclear. This breakdown shows how the strategy performed in each regime, helping you understand when it works best.

Wait 40%
RegimeReturnTradesWin Rate
Wait106.15%3953.8%
Accumulate7.23%850%
Distribute2.72%250%
_best_combo116.1%4953.1%

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Past performance does not guarantee future results. All strategies involve risk of loss.