ADA4hmedium risikoTerbaik: wait+distribute
High-Return ADA MACD Momentum (Short) (4h)
Diterbitkan 5 Juli 2026
MACD Momentum (Short) strategy on ADA. +75.18% return over the test period with 43.1% win rate and 1.5 profit factor. Sharpe ratio: 1.61. Max drawdown: 20.11%. Best performance in wait regime.
Metrik Kinerja
Total Return
+70.38%
Rasio Sharpe
1.61
Win Rate
43.10%
Drawdown Maksimum
20.11%
Jumlah Trade
72
Faktor Profit
1.50
Return Rata-rata/Trade
0.89%
Durasi Rata-rata (bar)
9
Validasi Out-of-Sample
Diuji pada data yang belum pernah dilihat untuk memverifikasi strategi tidak over-fitted. Degradasi rendah mengonfirmasi ketahanan.
Return OOS
11.60%
Win Rate OOS
50.00%
Sharpe OOS
1.73
Degradasi
Kurva Ekuitas
Aturan Strategi
Pemicu MasukMACD histogram crosses_below 0
Stop Losspercent 3%
Take Profitpercent 6%
Analisis Rezim CFO
Tunggu 23%
Distribusi 25%
| Rezim | Return | Trade | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tunggu | 61.5% | 22 | 63.6% |
| Akumulasi | -3.16% | 4 | 25% |
| Distribusi | 8.88% | 24 | 37.5% |
| _best_combo | 70.38% | 46 | 50% |
Riwayat Trade (50 trade)
| Masuk | Keluar | Return | Rezim |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/15/2025 | 10/17/2025 | +6.17% | Distribusi |
| 10/22/2025 | 10/24/2025 | -3.11% | Distribusi |
| 10/28/2025 | 10/30/2025 | +6.17% | Tunggu |
| 11/3/2025 | 11/3/2025 | +6.17% | Distribusi |
| 11/11/2025 | 11/12/2025 | +6.17% | Tunggu |
| 11/16/2025 | 11/17/2025 | -3.11% | Distribusi |
| 11/17/2025 | 11/18/2025 | -3.11% | Distribusi |
| 11/19/2025 | 11/19/2025 | -3.11% | Distribusi |
| 11/20/2025 | 11/21/2025 | +6.17% | Distribusi |
| 11/28/2025 | 12/1/2025 | +6.17% | Distribusi |
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