ETH1dhigh risikoTerbaik: wait+distribute

ETH StochRSI Short · Regime-Sized

Diterbitkan 27 Agustus 2026 · Pengujian ulang terakhir 3 November 2026

StochRSI exhaustion entries on ETH, short-side, with position size scaled by Bitcoin's weekly Anny Line regime (full size only when the market phase favors the trade). ATR-based stop, 2R target, 12-bar time stop. Selection window: 30.9% over 52 trades, 48% win rate, max drawdown 20.0%. Independent hold-out window (2022-04-09 to 2024-06-17, never used in selection): 22.9% return, Sharpe 0.50, max drawdown 23.6%. Past performance, including backtested performance, does not predict future results.

Deploy dengan AnnyStrategi short — memerlukan akun futures. Anny akan memandu Anda menyiapkannya.

Metrik Kinerja

What these numbers mean
Sharpe ratio≥ 0.5

Return earned per unit of risk taken — not just return.

Maximum drawdown≤ 35%

The deepest loss you would have had to sit through.

Out-of-sample

How it did on the last fifth of history, which the search was never allowed to see.

Trade count≥ 30

At least 30 closed trades, so nothing earns its place on a lucky handful.

Total Return
+43.55%
Rasio Sharpe
0.82
Win Rate
46.80%
Drawdown Maksimum
18.50%
Jumlah Trade
47
Faktor Profit
1.52
Return Rata-rata/Trade
1.88%
Durasi Rata-rata (bar)
10

Validasi Out-of-Sample

Diuji pada data yang belum pernah dilihat untuk memverifikasi strategi tidak over-fitted.

Return OOS
-7.32%
Win Rate OOS
37.50%
Sharpe OOS
-0.74
Degradasi
100.00%

Backtest mencakup biaya trading dan slippage, mengasumsikan penggabungan berurutan dengan modal penuh, dan tidak memodelkan biaya pendanaan futures pada posisi short.

Measured against our floors
Trade count47Sharpe ratio0.82Maximum drawdown18.5%Win rate46.8%

Kurva Ekuitas

Equity curve-29%+2%+33%+64%+95%90 hari terakhir
Sepanjang waktu +80.4%·90 hari terakhir +2.4%Menurun

Aturan Strategi

Pemicu MasukSTOCHRSI (3 settings) ••••
Stop Lossatr ••••
Take Profitrisk_reward ••••

Analisis Rezim CFO

CFO Line milik Anny membagi kondisi pasar menjadi tiga rezim. Akumulasi berarti tren bullish — ideal untuk entry long. Distribusi berarti bearish — lebih baik dihindari atau short. Tunggu berarti tren belum jelas. Rincian ini menunjukkan performa strategi di setiap rezim, membantu Anda memahami kapan ia bekerja paling baik.

Akumulasi 25%
Distribusi 27%

Strategi ini bekerja paling baik saat wait+distribute — pertimbangkan filter rezim agar hanya masuk ketika CFO Line memberi sinyal wait+distribute.

RezimReturnTradeWin Rate
Tunggu74.97%887.5%
Akumulasi-1.03%1942.1%
Distribusi14.32%2035%
_best_combo89.29%2850%
_btc_interval-%--%

Riwayat Trade (47 trade)

MasukKeluarReturnRezim
10/10/202610/23/2026+4.77%Akumulasi
9/25/202610/8/2026+8.54%Akumulasi
9/6/20269/19/2026-4.68%Akumulasi
8/24/20269/6/2026-1.48%Akumulasi
8/13/20268/19/2026-6.74%Tunggu
7/26/20268/8/2026+1.78%Tunggu
7/10/20267/23/2026-4.53%Distribusi
6/20/20267/3/2026-1.17%Distribusi
6/7/20266/20/2026-3.1%Distribusi
5/23/20266/5/2026+23.15%Tunggu

Siap untuk deploy?

Anny akan memandu Anda dalam pemilihan exchange, jumlah investasi, dan pengaturan risiko.

You own the bot. Not a copy of someone else's trades.

In copy trading, another trader's orders are mirrored into your account. Here a strategy becomes your bot — your exchange, your capital, your stop, and no cut of anything you make.

Deploy dengan Anny

Atau bangun bot trading Anda sendiri →

Kinerja masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil di masa depan. Semua strategi memiliki risiko kerugian.